Amir’s Claim
Amir Tsarfati insists that the modern nation of Israel is the “insurance policy” for Christians. He argues from Jeremiah 31 that as long as the sun, moon, and stars remain, Israel will remain a nation before God. He concludes that the very existence of Israel guarantees God’s faithfulness to the Church.
At first glance this sounds comforting. But it shifts the foundation of assurance from Christ to geopolitics, from the cross to the State of Israel.
The Context of Jeremiah 31
Jeremiah 31:35–37 (KJV):
“Thus saith the LORD, which giveth the sun for a light by day, and the ordinances of the moon and of the stars for a light by night… If those ordinances depart from before me, saith the LORD, then the seed of Israel also shall cease from being a nation before me for ever.”
This passage is part of Jeremiah’s prophecy of the new covenant (Jer. 31:31–34), fulfilled in Christ. The guarantee of Israel’s continuance is not about ethnic preservation for its own sake, but about God’s faithfulness to His covenant promises. And Paul makes clear that the new covenant people are those in Christ — Jew and Gentile alike (Heb. 8:6–13; Gal. 3:28–29).
Christ, Not Israel, Is the Guarantee
Our “insurance policy” is not the political state of Israel. It is Christ Himself.
2 Corinthians 1:20 (KJV):
“For all the promises of God in him are yea, and in him Amen, unto the glory of God by us.”
Ephesians 1:13–14 (KJV):
“In whom ye also trusted, after that ye heard the word of truth, the gospel of your salvation: in whom also after that ye believed, ye were sealed with that holy Spirit of promise, Which is the earnest of our inheritance until the redemption of the purchased possession, unto the praise of his glory.”
The seal of the Spirit is our down payment — not the flag of Israel.
The True Israel in the New Covenant
Paul says in Romans 9:8 (KJV):
“That is, They which are the children of the flesh, these are not the children of God: but the children of the promise are counted for the seed.”
The “nation before Me” that endures as long as sun and moon endure is the holy nation born of the Spirit (1 Pet. 2:9), not the political nation reborn in 1948. The promises of Jeremiah 31 are fulfilled in Christ and in His body, the Church.
The Danger of a False Assurance
Amir warns: if God can break His promise to Israel, He could break His promise to you. But this flips the gospel upside down. God’s faithfulness is not measured by geopolitics; it is measured by the cross and resurrection of Christ.
Romans 8:38–39 (KJV):
“For I am persuaded, that neither death, nor life, nor angels, nor principalities, nor powers, nor things present, nor things to come, Nor height, nor depth, nor any other creature, shall be able to separate us from the love of God, which is in Christ Jesus our Lord.”
Our confidence is anchored in Christ’s finished work, not in the shifting sands of the Middle East.
Conclusion
Jeremiah 31 points us to the faithfulness of God in the new covenant. The guarantee of our salvation is not the endurance of a political state, but the eternal priesthood of Christ, sealed by the Spirit.
To make Israel our “insurance policy” is to exchange Christ for the shadow. The true assurance of the believer is this: Christ is risen, Christ is reigning, and Christ will never fail His people.
👉 Next post (Post 7) will address Amir’s appeal to Israel’s wars and military survival as proof of divine favor.